Venezuela's foreign policy
With friends like these
Aug 31st 2006 | CARACAS
From The
Economist print edition
Multipolar, or
just anti-American?
HE HAS often said he wants a “multipolar world”,
and to diversify his country's trade. Yet recently the foreign policy of Hugo Chávez, Venezuela's
leftist president, has seemed monothematic: to draw close to adversaries or
rivals of the United States
wherever they might be. Although a presidential election is only three months
away, Mr Chávez has found
time for two lengthy foreign trips, taking in Russia, China, Iran, Belarus,
Vietnam and Syria among others. A planned visit to North
Korea has so far not materialised,
perhaps because Venezuela's
support for Kim Jong Il's
recent tests of nuclear-capable missiles makes even some of its friends blanch.
AP Chávez seeks anti-American satellites
The immediate aim of this relentless travel is to drum up votes for
Venezuela's bid to obtain in October one of the two rotating seats on the
United Nations Security Council that are normally held by Latin American
countries. In seeking this seat Mr Chávez disregarded a tacit Latin American understanding
that it should go to Guatemala.
Now the United States is
lobbying hard for Guatemala,
placing some South American countries in a quandary. Many are wary of Mr Chávez but are unwilling to be
seen as American pawns. The Mercosur countries have
said they will vote for Venezuela;
so might Chile.
The longer-term aim seems to be to solidify a transcontinental
anti-American alliance. Officials present this as defensive. Mr Chávez claims that the United States plans to invade Venezuela.
Certainly, George Bush's administration shortsightedly failed to condemn a
short-lived coup against Mr Chávez,
an elected leader, in 2002; it has helped Venezuela's opposition. But there
is no evidence that it organised the coup, or that it
plans an invasion.
Mr Chávez
rails against the United
States as “interventionist, aggressive,
genocidal and savage”. His new foreign minister, Nicolás
Maduro, echoes such talk. Not for him the
conciliatory spin that his predecessor, Alí Rodríguez, applied to the president's inflammatory
language.
The United States
has learned the wisdom of staying silent in the face of Mr
Chávez's provocations. It has even played down an incident
last month in which diplomatic baggage and supplies were seized by Venezuela's national guard. But the Bush administration is clearly
concerned at Mr Chávez's
new friendships. It has imposed an arms embargo on Venezuela. Last month it created a
new post of intelligence co-ordinator for Venezuela and Cuba—a
recognition that Mr Chávez's
close alliance with the ailing Fidel Castro is an obstacle to American hopes of
a democratic transition in Cuba.
Venezuela has turned elsewhere
for arms. In July Mr Chávez
ordered kit worth some $3 billion from Russia, including 24 Sukhoi 30 jet fighters to replace his ageing American F-16s. The neighbours are more
concerned about the 100,000 Kalashnikov assault rifles that have begun to
arrive, and 55 Russian helicopters, including about a dozen MI-35
helicopter gunships. Venezuela argues, plausibly, that
it needs to replace obsolete weaponry and, less plausibly, that it faces a
military threat.
Mr Chávez has sought out
American foes in the Middle East. “We will
back Iran any time, in any
situation,” he said in Tehran.
He compared Israel's war in Lebanon to the
Holocaust, withdrew his ambassador to Tel Aviv, and threatened to sever
diplomatic relations.
In Beijing last week Mr
Chávez signed agreements to more than triple oil
exports to China in three
years and to step up investment by Chinese state-owned companies in Venezuela's
heavy-oil belt. Diversifying trade is one thing. But Mr
Chávez's ostentatious friendships with nuclear
miscreants such as Iran and North Korea may cause almost as much alarm in
South America—whose countries have abjured nuclear weapons by treaty—as they
undoubtedly do in Washington,
DC.